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China Agrees to Buy U.S. Soybeans


The following is from Ryan Hanrahan, farm policy news editor for the University of Illinois.

Published: Friday, November 7, 2025

Bloomberg's Jeff Sutherland and Ilena Peng reported that "China has agreed to buy 12 million metric tons of soybeans this year, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said, providing some relief to U.S. farmers who have anxiously awaited the resumption of exports to the Asian nation. For the next three years, China has agreed to buy a minimum of 25 million tons annually, Bessent said Thursday (Oct. 30) on Fox Business."

"President Donald Trump said earlier that China will purchase 'tremendous' amounts of American soybeans, following a meeting to hammer out a wide-ranging trade deal with his counterpart Xi Jinping. Trump said China will start buying immediately, but didn't provide any additional details," Sutherland and Peng reported. "The agreement paves the way for the reopening of a trade that was worth more than $12 billion last year and is crucial for U.S. farmers who have faced prolonged financial strain."

"A commitment of 12 million tons for this season is in line with many analysts' forecasts. China has little need for additional soybeans currently as it has built up ample supplies with record shipments from South America," Sutherland and Peng reported. "The amount is a 'fairly sizable reduction from a historical standpoint,' said Brian Grete, a senior grain and livestock analyst at Commstock."

"In the longer term, purchases of 25 million tons a year would be 'basically getting back to normal,' Grete added, potentially helping farmers forecast export demand and build out balance sheets for the longer term," Sutherland and Peng reported.

Bloomberg's Hallie Gu and Srinidhi Ragavendran reported that "China has held off buying U.S. soybeans for much of this season, hurting American farmers while giving Beijing a key bargaining chip during negotiations with Washington. Just days before the (Trump-Xi) summit, Beijing made its first purchases of U.S. supplies in months—still a fraction of a soy trade that was worth more than $12 billion last year."

"With a limited number of cargoes booked so far, the likelihood of a dramatic and rapid revival in U.S. purchases is shrinking, at least for commercial buyers," Gu and Ragavendran reported. "China has switched to taking more Brazilian soybeans and recently purchased record volumes from Argentina, part of its strategy to diversify supply."

"Commercial purchases would also require China to roll back tariffs on U.S. soybeans imposed earlier this year, a move that is widely expected by the market but which Beijing did not make explicit," Gu and Ragavendran reported. "'Right now, we do not have a 100% clear answer on that,' said Even Pay, director at Beijing-based advisory firm Trivium China."

The Associated Press reported that "President Donald Trump said he has made deals with China after meeting Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Thursday, the final day of a trip to Asia that was an opportunity for the leaders of the world's two largest economies to stabilize relations after months of turmoil over trade issues."

"The president told reporters aboard Air Force One that the U.S. would lower tariffs implemented earlier this year as punishment on China for its selling of chemicals used to make fentanyl from 20% to 10%. That brings the total combined tariff rate on China down from 57% to 47," the AP reported. "'I guess on the scale from 0 to 10 I would say the meeting was a 12,' Trump said aboard Air Force One as he returned to Washington after spending five days in three Asian countries. Their meeting lasted an hour and 40 minutes."

"China's Commerce Ministry said on Thursday that the U.S. will pause its measures under its Section 301 investigation against China's shipbuilding and maritime industries for one year," the AP reported. "It said China will pause its relevant countermeasures against the U.S. for a year in response after the U.S. suspensions take effect."

Additionally, "China has agreed to suspend its new export control restrictions on rare earth minerals for one year and study and refine them, the Commerce Ministry said," according to the AP. "In return, the U.S. will suspend for one year a rule that expanded its controls to all subsidiaries that are at least 50% owned by Chinese companies on an export control list."

Reuters reported that "the U.S. and China could sign a trade agreement as soon as next week, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Thursday following President Donald Trump's meeting with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping. 'The Kuala Lumpur agreement was finished in the middle of the night last night, so I expect we will exchange signatures possibly as soon as next week,' Bessent said in an interview on Fox Business Network."

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